XORAZM VILOYATIDA IQLIM O‘ZGARISHI VA INSTITUTSIONAL OMILLARNING MINTAQAVIY BARQAROR EKOLOGIK-IQTISODIY O‘SISHGA TA’SIRI
Keywords:
climate change, institutional quality, climate vulnerability, sustainable economic growth, Khorezm region, governance, adaptation policy, greenhouse gases, decoupling, green economy.Abstract
This article examines the impact of climate change and institutional quality on sustainable regional economic growth in the Khorezm region, based on empirical data. Using statistical data for 2010–2023, the climate vulnerability index (C_t) and institutional quality indicator (I_t) are applied for quantitative assessment. Results show that a 1.3°C increase in average temperature and a three-fold increase in drought frequency reduce regional agricultural productivity by 7–9% annually. Institutional fragmentation reduces water management efficiency by 20–25%. It is substantiated that climate adaptation investments and governance reforms can increase the region’s economic growth rate by 1.5–2 percentage points.
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