ОЦЕНКА УЩЕРБА ПРИ ОБРАЗОВАНИИ И ПРОХОЖДЕНИИ СЕЛЕЙ ПО ТАШКЕНТСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ
Ключевые слова:
Сель, селевой поток, прохождение селевого паводка, определение эквивалентного давления селя, методика оценки ущерба, чрезвычайная ситуацияАннотация
Горные и в значительной степени предгорные районы Республик Узбекистан селеопасны. По Ташкентской области выделяют два селевых речных бассейна (опасных в отношении проявления селевых потоков): бассейн реки Чирчик и бассейн реки Ахангаран.
На основе результатов многолетних наблюдений службы Узгидромет была составлена цифровая карта селевой опасности по Ташкентской области за столетний период. Методика определения ущерба от действия селя на конкретный объект состоит в определении эквивалентного давления селя по его исходным параметрам.
По методике оценки ущерба при возникновении ЧС природного характера были определены основные параметры поражающих факторов при прохождении селевого паводка при выпадении интенсивных дождевых осадков. Расчеты были выполнены для двух сценариев: 1) при выпадении опасных дождевых осадков интенсивностью в 30мм в сутки; 2) при выпадении особо опасных дождевых осадков интенсивностью в 60мм в сутки.
По выполненным расчетам была определена величина ущерба народному хозяйству Ташкентской области при прохождении селя, вызванного выпадением интенсивных дождевых осадков.
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